Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Clinical Prediction Models for Prognostication After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Crit Care MedPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational cohorts

Authors' conclusion

CPMs for neuroprognostication after OHCA demonstrate only moderate accuracy, with substantial heterogeneity across validation cohorts.

Study context

Population
Adults with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA)
Participants
95,037 adults · 39 observational cohorts
Comparison
Clinical prediction models for poor functional outcome
Outcome
Prognostic performance (sensitivity, specificity, AUROC) of CPMs for poor functional outcome
Methodological detailsdiagnostic accuracy meta-analysis, PROBAST risk of bias, GRADE certainty
  • Diagnostic accuracy meta-analysis
  • PROBAST risk of bias
  • GRADE certainty

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Poor functional outcome
StrategyPooled sensitivityPooled specificity
OHCA score ≥1781.8% (95% CI, 65.8-91.4%)74.2% (95% CI, 58.8-85.3%)
OHCA score ≥3264.9% (95% CI, 44.0-81.3%)89.5% (95% CI, 75.9-95.8%)
Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) score ≥15081.3% (95% CI, 77.7-84.4%)77.0% (95% CI, 70.6-82.4%)

Pooled sensitivity

OHCA score ≥1781.8% (95% CI, 65.8-91.4%)
OHCA score ≥3264.9% (95% CI, 44.0-81.3%)
Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) score ≥15081.3% (95% CI, 77.7-84.4%)

Pooled specificity

OHCA score ≥1774.2% (95% CI, 58.8-85.3%)
OHCA score ≥3289.5% (95% CI, 75.9-95.8%)
Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) score ≥15077.0% (95% CI, 70.6-82.4%)
Pooled AUROCs across the 11 Clinical Prediction Models (CPMs)
0.75 to 0.88

Original publication

Clinical Prediction Models for Prognostication After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Crit Care Med. Published 11 June 2026. doi:10.1097/ccm.0000000000007206

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