Safety, quality & education

Development and benchmarking of machine learning models to classify patients suitable for outpatient lower extremity joint arthroplasty

J Clin AnesthPublished Prediction model development study

Authors' conclusion

Machine learning models may utilize electronic health records to screen arthroplasty procedures for outpatient eligibility. Tree-based models demonstrated superior performance in this study.

Study context

Population
Knee and hip arthroplasty patients, single institution, October 2013 to November 20215,523 records kept
Participants
7,322 participants
Comparison
Machine learning classifiers vs baseline
Outcome
F1-score, ROC AUC and area under the precision-recall curve for predicting same-day discharge
Methodological details10-fold stratified cross-validation, single institution
  • 10-fold stratified cross-validation
  • Single institution

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Classification of same-day discharge

F1-score improvement

0.174

Balanced random forest vs Baseline

F1-score improvement

0.031

Balanced random forest vs Logistic regression

Balanced random forest

F1-score
0.347
AUC
0.734

Balanced random forest

F1-score0.347
AUC0.734

Further findings

Feature importance (SHAP)

Top determinant features: patient sex, surgical approach, surgery type, BMI

Original publication

Development and benchmarking of machine learning models to classify patients suitable for outpatient lower extremity joint arthroplasty. J Clin Anesth. Published 16 May 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jclinane.2023.111147

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