Pediatric anesthesia & critical care

Development and external validation of a machine learning model for brain injury in pediatric patients on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

Crit CarePublished Prediction model development and external validation study

Authors' conclusion

The Random Forest model based on machine learning demonstrates high accuracy and robustness in predicting brain injury in pediatric patients supported by ECMO, with strong generalization capabilities and promising clinical applicability.

Study context

Population
Pediatric patients supported by extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) (Chinese Society of Extracorporeal Life Support registry and local hospitals)15 features selected
Participants
1,633 vs 154
Comparison
Ten machine learning (ML) methods compared for predicting brain injury; random forest best
  • Developmentn = 1,633
  • External validationn = 154
Outcome
Brain injury prediction (accuracy and AUC)
Methodological detailsmachine learning, retrospective cohort, internal and external validation, multicentre registry
  • Machine learning
  • Retrospective cohort
  • Internal and external validation
  • Multicentre registry

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Random forest model performance for brain injury
Test or modelValueAUC (internal validation)AUC (external validation)
Development181 events0.912
External validation30 events0.807

Value

Development181 events
External validation30 events

AUC (internal validation)

Development0.912
External validation— not stated in the abstract

AUC (external validation)

Development— not stated in the abstract
External validation0.807

Original publication

Development and external validation of a machine learning model for brain injury in pediatric patients on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Crit Care. Published 9 January 2025. doi:10.1186/s13054-024-05248-9

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