Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Novel Preoperative Risk Stratification Using Digital Phenotyping Applying a Scalable Machine-Learning Approach

Anesth AnalgPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

For 3 frequently performed surgeries, we identified 3 digital phenotypes. The typical profiles of each phenotype were described and could be used to anticipate adverse postoperative events.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing laminectomy, colectomy or thoracic surgery over a 9-year period in a large hospital system2,770 in validation dataset
Participants
7,251 patients
Exposure
Digital phenotypes alpha, beta, gamma; phenotypes combined with American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score vs ASA score alone
Outcome
Association of preoperative digital phenotypes with postoperative adverse events:
  • In-hospital and 30-day mortality
  • 30-day surgical redo
  • Intensive care unit (ICU) admission
  • Hospital length of stay (LOS)
Methodological detailsmachine-learning (consensus k-means clustering, random forest), derivation and validation cohorts split chronologically, single hospital system
  • Machine-learning (consensus k-means clustering, random forest)
  • Derivation and validation cohorts split chronologically
  • Single hospital system

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Postoperative adverse outcomes by phenotype (validation cohort)

30-day mortality

In-hospital mortality

Prolonged hospital LOS

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Phenotype frequency (validation cohort)

Discrimination (AUROC): digital phenotypes combined with ASA score vs ASA score alone

Hospital mortality AUROC, phenotypes + ASA vs ASA alone
0.91 vs 0.84
Prolonged hospitalization AUROC, phenotypes + ASA vs ASA alone
0.80 vs 0.71

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Novel Preoperative Risk Stratification Using Digital Phenotyping Applying a Scalable Machine-Learning Approach. Anesth Analg. Published 5 December 2023. doi:10.1213/ane.0000000000006753

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