Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Prediction of good functional outcome decreases diagnostic uncertainty in unconscious survivors after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

ResuscitationPublished Post-hoc analysis of four prospective multicentre studies

Authors' conclusion

Raising the GCS-M inclusion threshold and adding favourable predictors to the 2021 ERC/ESICM prognostication algorithm reduced prognostic uncertainty without increasing falsely pessimistic predictions.

Study context

Population
Unconscious survivors after OHCA
Participants
3,388 survivors · 4 prospective multicentre studies
Comparison
Modified algorithm vs 2021 ERC/ESICM neuroprognostication algorithm
Primary endpoint
Prognostic accuracy for functional outcome:
  • Good outcome: modified Rankin Scale 0-3
  • Cerebral Performance Category 1-2
  • Glasgow Outcome Scale 4-5
Follow-up
Six months
Methodological detailsTTM, TTM2, KORHN and ProNeCA, prognostic accuracy
  • TTM, TTM2, KORHN and ProNeCA
  • Prognostic accuracy

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Indeterminate prognosis

Further findings

Specificity of 2021 ERC/ESICM poor outcome criteria · 6 months
870 · events

Poor outcome identification with Glasgow Coma Scale motor (GCS-M) < 6 threshold

More patients entering the algorithm
366
More patients with poor outcomes identified, with close to identical specificity
7

Good functional outcome among patients identified by good outcome predictors · 6 months

Patients with potential recovery identified by good outcome predictors
673
Of these, good functional outcome at 6 months
411 (61%)

Original publication

Prediction of good functional outcome decreases diagnostic uncertainty in unconscious survivors after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Resuscitation. Published 16 June 2025. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2025.110686

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