Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Quantitative analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients to predict neurological prognosis in cardiac arrest survivors: an observational derivation and internal–external validation study

Crit CarePublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

In this validation study, by consistently restricting the MRI types and timing during quantitative analysis of ADC values in brain MRI, we observed high reproducibility and sensitivity at a 0% FPR.

Study context

Population
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at 3 T within 72–96 h after OHCA
Participants
448 brain MRI scans
Comparison
Derivation vs Internal validation vs External validation
  • Derivationn = 224
  • Internal validationn = 96
  • External validationn = 128
Outcome
Poor neurological outcome (cerebral performance categories 3-5) predicted by proportion of brain volume below specific ADC values
Follow-up
6 months
Methodological detailsobservational, derivation and internal–external validation, prospectively collected data, two tertiary academic hospitals
  • Observational
  • Derivation and internal–external validation
  • Prospectively collected data
  • Two tertiary academic hospitals

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Proportion of brain volume with ADC below 600 × 10-6 mm²/s, threshold > 13.2%
Test or modelFalse-positive rateSensitivitySpecificity
Derivation0%76% (95% CI 68-83)
Internal validation71% (95% CI 58-81)100%
External validation78% (95% CI 66-87)100%

False-positive rate

Derivation0%
Internal validation— not stated in the abstract
External validation— not stated in the abstract

Sensitivity

Derivation76% (95% CI 68-83)
Internal validation71% (95% CI 58-81)
External validation78% (95% CI 66-87)

Specificity

Derivation— not stated in the abstract
Internal validation100%
External validation100%

Further findings

OutcomeDerivation
Proportion of brain volume with ADC below 450, 500, 550, 600 and 650 × 10-6 mm²/s for poor outcome
AUC0.89-0.91
Proportion of brain volume with apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) below 450, 500, 550, 600 and 650 × 10-6 mm²/s for poor outcome — No statistically significant differences in performance among derivation, internal validation and external validation groups
all P > 0.5

Original publication

Quantitative analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients to predict neurological prognosis in cardiac arrest survivors: an observational derivation and internal–external validation study. Crit Care. Published 25 April 2024. doi:10.1186/s13054-024-04909-z

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