Paediatric anaesthesia & critical care

Contemporary Trends in Pediatric Extubation Failure and Noninvasive Respiratory Support Use

ChestPublished Retrospective cross-sectional study

Main finding · Postextubation noninvasive respiratory support useResult — go to the resultRelative risk 1.90 95% CI 1.83–1.98

Authors' conclusion

Our results demonstrate that in the last decade, noninvasive respiratory support after extubation has nearly doubled, with an approximately 10% reintubation risk reduction.

Study context

Population
Patients younger than 19 years receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) for ≥ 24 hours and extubated 2013–2022, 158 North American sites (Virtual Pediatric Intensive Care database)
Participants
132,712 unique encounters
Exposure
2013 vs 2022
Outcome
Changes in EF risk factors, EF rates, postextubation noninvasive respiratory support practices and patient-centered outcomes
Methodological detailsmulticentre, quality improvement database
  • Multicentre
  • Quality improvement database

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Postextubation noninvasive respiratory support use

Relative risk

1.90

95% CI 1.83–1.98

P < 0.01

By group

2022 vs 2013
RR 1.90 (95% CI 1.83–1.98); P < 0.01
Overall extubation failure (EF) rate
8.5%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Outcome20132022RR (95% CI)P value
EF ≤ 48 hours8.9%8.1%0.92 (0.85–0.99)P = 0.03
EF ≤ 7 days12.3%11.0%0.89 (0.83–0.95)P < 0.01
Outcomes with EF vs without EFEF vs No EF · all-cause risk-adjusted mortality 8.5% vs 8.6%1.16 (0.97–1.38)P = 0.73

Risk factors for EF (logistic regression)

OR (95% CI)P value
Age < 6 weeks1.39 (1.31–1.47)P < 0.01
Age 6 weeks-12 months1.24 (1.18–1.30)P < 0.01
Primary renal diagnosis1.25 (1.04–1.48)P = 0.01
Respiratory diagnosis1.15 (1.07–1.23)P < 0.01
Cardiac diagnosis1.10 (1.04–1.16)P < 0.01
≥ 7 days invasive ventilation before extubation1.26 (1.21–1.32)P < 0.01
OutcomeEstimateP value
Outcomes with EF vs without EFEF vs No EFmechanical ventilation duration 11.6 days vs 4.0 days daysP < 0.01
Outcomes with EF vs without EFEF vs No EFPICU LOS 18.8 days vs 7.9 days daysP < 0.01
Outcomes with EF vs without EFEF vs No EFhospital LOS 31.0 days vs 15.0 days daysP < 0.01

Risk factors for EF (logistic regression)

EF rates unchanged over time for patients with 0 or 1 risk factor

Original publication

Contemporary Trends in Pediatric Extubation Failure and Noninvasive Respiratory Support Use. Chest. Published 14 August 2025. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2025.07.4080

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