Neuroanesthesia & neurocritical care

Deep white matter MRI predicts outcomes in coma of various etiologies: a cohort study

Crit CarePublished Prognostic cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This classifier demonstrates a high specificity to predict coma outcome while patients are still in the ICU, irrespective of coma etiology.

Study context

Population
Patients in coma of various etiologies not responding to simple orders at day 5 after coma onset
Participants
531 vs 211
Comparison
Training set vs External test set
  • Training setn = 531
  • External test setn = 211
Outcome
Prediction of unfavorable outcome (UFO, GOSE 1-4) by diffusion tensor imaging (DTI)-based classifier
Follow-up
One year
Methodological detailsmulticentre, international, supervised machine learning, external validation
  • Multicentre
  • International
  • Supervised machine learning
  • External validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Classifier performance in the external test set
Test or modelROC AUCUnfavorable outcome (UFO) specificityUFO PPVUFO sensitivityFO specificityFO PPVFO NPVNo determination zone (NDZ)
External test set0.8998.1%99.1%68.6%95.0%77.8%86.3%30.8%

External test set

ROC AUC0.89
Unfavorable outcome (UFO) specificity98.1%
UFO PPV99.1%
UFO sensitivity68.6%
FO specificity95.0%
FO PPV77.8%
FO NPV86.3%
No determination zone (NDZ)30.8%

Further findings

Classifier specificity after excluding patients with withdrawal of life sustaining therapies (n = 104)

Specificity for UFO classification
96.6%
Specificity for FO classification
82.4%

Original publication

Deep white matter MRI predicts outcomes in coma of various etiologies: a cohort study. Crit Care. Published 4 March 2026. doi:10.1186/s13054-026-05909-x

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