Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Development and validation of a machine learning-based prediction model for intraoperative hypothermia in Chinese patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery

Perioper Med (Lond)Published Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This study highlights key predictors of intraoperative hypothermia and presents a reliable nomogram for risk prediction in patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery, First Hospital of Putian City, China, January–March 2024
Participants
418 patients
Exposure
Logistic regression (LR) vs Nomogram
Outcome
Intraoperative hypothermia (core temperature < 36.0 °C, deep nasal probe every 15 min)
Methodological detailssingle-centre, machine learning prediction model, nomogram
  • Single-centre
  • Machine learning prediction model
  • Nomogram

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of intraoperative hypothermia
GroupAUCAccuracy
LR0.8720.808
Nomogram0.877— not stated in the abstract

AUC

LR0.872
Nomogram0.877

Accuracy

LR0.808
Nomogram— not stated in the abstract

— not stated in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Clinical features differing between the two groups

Clinical features with significant differences (of 25)
12

Original publication

Development and validation of a machine learning-based prediction model for intraoperative hypothermia in Chinese patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery. Perioper Med (Lond). Published 30 September 2025. doi:10.1186/s13741-025-00587-9

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