Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Directed acyclic graphs to minimise bias and optimise causal inference in Sprint National Anaesthesia Project (SNAP-3): an observational cohort study of frailty, multimorbidity, and delirium in older surgical patients

Br J AnaesthPublished Methodological description of causal diagram development for an observational cohort study

Authors' conclusion

DAGs provide a transparent framework for statistical decision-making in observational research.

Study context

Population
Older surgical population (SNAP-3)
Methodological detailsdirected acyclic graphs, 'Evidence synthesis for constructing directed acyclic graphs' approach, independent clinical expert input
  • Directed acyclic graphs
  • 'Evidence synthesis for constructing directed acyclic graphs' approach
  • Independent clinical expert input

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

  • Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) created for exposure-outcome relationships between frailty, multimorbidity and delirium (as exposure) and postoperative outcomes (length of hospital stay, delirium, morbidity, mortality)
  • DAGs provide visual representations of assumptions made and an objective approach to appropriate statistical adjustments
  • Key nodes in all DAGs: age, dementia, genetic predisposition, hearing and visual impairment, LOS, malignancy, operative severity, polypharmacy, postoperative perioperative medicine service, preoperative clinic review, sex, social deprivation, urgency; delirium, frailty, multimorbidity, interaction, morbidity as exposures or outcomes in certain DAGs

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Directed acyclic graphs to minimise bias and optimise causal inference in SNAP-3: an observational cohort study of frailty, multimorbidity, and delirium in older surgical patients. Br J Anaesth. Published 27 May 2025. doi:10.1016/j.bja.2025.04.027

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