Hemodynamics, fluids & transfusion

Impact of missing values on the ability of the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III and Japan risk of death models to predict mortality

J Crit CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

An increased number of missing physiological variables resulted in falsely low predicted mortality rates and high SMRs.

Study context

Population
ICU patients in the Japanese Intensive care PAtient Database (JIPAD), April 2015–March 2019
Participants
61,357 patients · 57 ICUs
Exposure
Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III vs Japan Risk of Death (JROD)
Outcome
SMR (observed vs predicted mortality) by number and category of missing variables
Methodological detailsmulticentre registry
  • Multicentre registry

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

SMR by number of missing values
  • APACHE III and JROD standardized mortality ratio (SMRs) increased as the number of missing values increased
  • APACHE III SMR elevated in facilities with a larger proportion missing in each APS category, arterial blood gas, albumin, glucose and bilirubin
  • Facilities with a high proportion of missing albumin data preserved their SMRs in only the JROD model

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Impact of missing values on the ability of the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation III and Japan risk of death models to predict mortality. J Crit Care. Published 22 September 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2023.154432

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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