Long-term disease interactions amongst surgical patients: a population cohort study

Br J AnaesthPublished Population cohort study

Authors' conclusion

One in eight patients undergoing surgery have multi-morbidity, accounting for more than half of all postoperative deaths.

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing non-obstetric surgery in the English NHS, January 2010–December 2015
Participants
20,193,659 procedure spells
Exposure
Multi-morbidity vs no multi-morbidity
  • Multi-morbidityn = 2,577,049
  • No multi-morbidityn = 17,616,610reference
Outcome
Postoperative death
Follow-up
90 days
Methodological detailsage- and sex-adjusted logistic regression, national administrative data
  • Age- and sex-adjusted logistic regression
  • National administrative data

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

OutcomeMulti-morbidityNo multi-morbidityOR (95% CI)
90-day death, elective spellsAge- and sex-adjusted2.7%— not stated in the abstract4.9 (4.9–4.9)
90-day death, non-elective spellsAge- and sex-adjusted20.5%— not stated in the abstract3.0 (3.0–3.1)

— not stated in the abstract

Emergency readmission within 90 days

  • 90-day death, elective spells: multi-morbidity in 1 902 859/16 946 808 (11.2%) elective spells
  • 90-day death, non-elective spells: multi-morbidity in 674 190/3 246 851 (20.7%) non-elective spells

Share of all deaths in multi-morbid patients

Elective spells: 57 663/114 783 deaths
50.2%
Non-elective spells: 138 302/244 711 deaths
56.5%

Death by disease pair

Death rate varied five-fold from lowest to highest risk disease pairs

Original publication

Long-term disease interactions amongst surgical patients: a population cohort study. Br J Anaesth. Published 1 July 2023. doi:10.1016/j.bja.2023.04.041

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