ICU sedation, delirium & recovery

Machine learning-based immunocompromise and severity score for early risk stratification of critically ill patients

Anaesth Crit Care Pain MedPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Derived from common immunocompromising conditions and biomarkers, the ICS and SICS scores and their risk stratification system provide an accurate and timely solution for identifying and stratifying immunocompromise in critically ill patients.

Study context

Population
Adults admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) for at least three days, two ICUs of an academic tertiary care center in Chinaderivation cohort
Participants
1,863 adults
Exposure
Immunocompromise and Severity (ICS) score and SICS score vs APACHE II and SOFA for 28-day mortality prediction
Outcome
28-day all-cause mortality
Follow-up
28 days
Methodological detailssingle-centre, machine learning prediction model development, 10-fold cross-validation, temporal validation
  • Single-centre
  • Machine learning prediction model development
  • 10-fold cross-validation
  • Temporal validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of 28-day all-cause mortality
GroupAUCSensitivitySpecificityAccuracy
ICS score0.8870.8960.7230.787
SICS score0.8510.830.720.765

AUC

ICS score0.887
SICS score0.851

Sensitivity

ICS score0.896
SICS score0.83

Specificity

ICS score0.723
SICS score0.72

Accuracy

ICS score0.787
SICS score0.765
  • ICS score vs APACHE II and SOFA: P < 0.001 — ICS performance superior

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

OutcomeICS scoreSICS score
Temporal validation (n = 216)
AUC0.8540.845

Mortality by risk stratum (ICS vs SICS)

Low risk mortality, ICS vs SICS
2.6% vs. 2.8%
Moderate risk mortality, ICS vs SICS
24.2% vs. 24.4%
High risk mortality, ICS vs SICS
69.9% vs. 69.6%
Proportion classified low risk, ICS vs SICS
31.4% vs. 19.6%
Proportion classified high risk, ICS vs SICS
42.6% vs. 36.6%

Secondary endpoints (septic shock, special antimicrobials, peak IL-6)

Significantly correlated with higher risk stratification

Original publication

Machine learning-based immunocompromise and severity score for early risk stratification of critically ill patients. Anaesth Crit Care Pain Med. Published 6 November 2025. doi:10.1016/j.accpm.2025.101664

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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