Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Optimizing extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation delivery for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a Monte Carlo simulation study

ResuscitationPublished Simulation modelling study

Authors' conclusion

In this simulation, prehospital ECPR strategies showed the potential to increase survival, improve flow recovery at 60 min, and reduce low-flow times in urban OHCA.

Study context

Population
Simulated urban out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients meeting extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) criteria (witnessed arrest, bystander CPR, age ≤ 70 years), Montrealaverage per iteration
Participants
255 patients
Comparison
In-hospital ECPR vs rendezvous vs prehospital ECPR strategies
Outcome
Survival with favorable neurological outcome (CPC 1-2)
Methodological detailsMonte Carlo simulation, 2000 iterations, historical OHCA data (2015-2019) from Montreal's sole EMS, Transport times estimated using a machine learning model trained on real operational data
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • 2000 iterations
  • Historical OHCA data (2015-2019) from Montreal's sole EMS
  • Transport times estimated using a machine learning model trained on real operational data

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Further findings

OutcomeValuesDifference (min)
Flow recovery at 60 min2-hospital 69.2% · 4-hospital 75.1% · Rendezvous 77.3% · Hospital-based 99.7% · Optimally located mobile team 100%
Low-flow time (change)4-hospital vs 2-hospital−2.4
Low-flow time (change)Rendezvous vs 2-hospital−2.9
Low-flow time (change)Hospital-based vs 2-hospital−7.8
Low-flow time (change)Optimally located mobile team vs 2-hospital−12

Original publication

Optimizing extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation delivery for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a Monte Carlo simulation study. Resuscitation. Published 5 August 2025. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2025.110743

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