Neuroanesthesia & neurocritical care

Predicting outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage by exploitation of signal complexity: a prospective two-center cohort study

Crit CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

MSE metrics and thereby complexity of physiological signals are independent, internally and externally valid predictors of 12-month outcome.

Study context

Population
Patients with aneurysmal SAHanalysed
Participants
330 patients
Exposure
Multiscale entropy (MSE) of physiological signals as predictor of 12-month outcome
  • Zurich-derivationn = 241
  • Aachen-validationn = 89
Outcome
Dichotomized (GOSE 1-4 vs 5-8) or ordinal GOSE outcome
Follow-up
12 months
Methodological detailstwo-centre, derivation and external validation cohorts, bootstrapping internal validation
  • Two-centre
  • Derivation and external validation cohorts
  • Bootstrapping internal validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Unfavorable outcome
  • Decreasing MSE associated with higher likelihood of unfavorable outcome, independent of covariates and analysis method
  • Multivariable adjusted logistic regression models well calibrated, only slight decrease in discrimination in validation cohort
  • Ordinal analysis: effect of MSE linear
  • MSE remained valid when outcome definition adjusted against initial severity
  • Adjusted for age, WFNS grade, modified Fisher (mFisher) grade, delayed cerebral infarction

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Predicting outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage by exploitation of signal complexity: a prospective two-center cohort study. Crit Care. Published 14 May 2024. doi:10.1186/s13054-024-04939-7

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