Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Predicting recurrent cardiac arrest within one year after surviving in-hospital cardiac arrest using a machine learning model

ResuscitationPublished Retrospective registry-based prognostic modelling study

Authors' conclusion

In this dataset, an XGBoost model could predict recurrent cardiac arrest or death within one year after IHCA with a modest performance and good accuracy.

Study context

Population
Adults discharged alive after in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) in the Swedish registry for cardiopulmonary resuscitation, 2010–2021
Participants
7,302 adults
Outcome
Recurrent cardiac arrest or death
Follow-up
Within one year after IHCA
Methodological detailsmachine learning (XGBoost), national registry
  • Machine learning (XGBoost)
  • National registry

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of recurrent cardiac arrest or death (XGBoost model) · within one year

Patients developing the outcome

22%

Receiver operating characteristics and area under the curve (ROC-AUC) of best performing model (1241 variables), 95% CI 0.70-0.75

0.72

Original publication

Predicting recurrent cardiac arrest within one year after surviving in-hospital cardiac arrest using a machine learning model. Resuscitation. Published 6 February 2026. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2026.111006

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