ICU sedation, delirium & recovery

Prediction of post-traumatic stress disorder in family members of intensive care unit (ICU) patients: a machine learning approach

Intensive Care MedPublished Prediction model development study

Authors' conclusion

In this model, PTSD is mostly influenced by non-modifiable factors.

Study context

Population
Family members of ICU patients
Participants
2,374 family members
Comparison
Random Forest vs XGBoost
Outcome
PTSD (Impact of Event Scale and Impact of Event Scale-Revised)
Follow-up
90 days after ICU discharge
Methodological detailssupervised machine learning, independent held-out test dataset, machine learning interpretability methods
  • Supervised machine learning
  • Independent held-out test dataset
  • Machine learning interpretability methods

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of PTSD (held-out test dataset)
GroupAUC
Random Forest0.73 [0.68-0.77]
XGBoost0.73 [0.69-0.78]

AUC

Random Forest0.73 [0.68-0.77]
XGBoost0.73 [0.69-0.78]

Further findings

Features contributing to post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) predicted probability (best algorithm)

Most important features all non-modifiable: lower patient age, longer ICU LOS, relative female sex, lower relative age, relative spouse/child, patient death in ICU

Sensitivity analysis in bereaved relatives

Did not alter the algorithm's predictive performance

Original publication

Prediction of post-traumatic stress disorder in family members of ICU patients: a machine learning approach. Intensive Care Med. Published 19 December 2023. doi:10.1007/s00134-023-07288-1

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.