Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Preoperative inflammatory markers for prediction of postoperative clinical outcomes: a retrospective cohort study

Can J AnaesthPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elevated inflammatory indices were significantly associated with 30-day mortality and ICU stay of > 24 hr. In multivariable Analysis, they improved the prediction of 30-day mortality risk.

Study context

Population
Perioperative adults (≥ 21 yr) admitted to Singapore General Hospital, 2017–2020
Participants
53,375 adults
Exposure
Elevated vs non-elevated preoperative inflammatory markers
Outcome
30-day mortality and ICU stay > 24 hr
Methodological detailssingle-centre
  • Single-centre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

30-day mortality (multivariable models with a single inflammatory index) · 30 days
Odds ratio (95% CI)
RDWsingle-index model
2.69(2.10–3.44)
NLRmodel A3
2.40(1.89–3.06)
PLRmodel A4
1.91(1.50–2.43)
Observed 30-day mortality
0.9% (497/53,375)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

30-day mortality (multivariable model with all three inflammatory indices)

OR (95% CI)
RDWAll three indices model · multivariable analysis2.61 (2.04–3.33)
NLRAll three indices model · multivariable analysis2.07 (1.58–2.72)
Model had statistically significantly better area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) than a model without any inflammatory index

Intensive care unit (ICU) admission > 24 hr

ICU admission > 24 hr
2.2% (1,201/53,375)
Elevated neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet:lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and RDW predictive of 30-day mortality and ICU stay > 24 hr on univariable analysis

Original publication

Preoperative inflammatory markers for prediction of postoperative clinical outcomes: a retrospective cohort study. Can J Anaesth. Published 22 October 2025. doi:10.1007/s12630-025-03033-y

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