Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Quantifying physiological stability in the general ward using continuous vital signs monitoring: the circadian kernel density estimator

J Clin Monit ComputPublished Model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

The results showed that for severe deviations in the vital signs, the circadian KDE model can alert multiple hours prior to deviations being noticed by the staff.

Study context

Population
General ward patients with continuous vital signs monitoring by wearable biosensors: postoperative patients and patients with acute exacerbation of COPDtwo observational studies
Participants
491 vs 200
Comparison
Postoperative vs COPD
  • Postoperativen = 491
  • COPDn = 200
Outcome
Discrimination of the circadian kernel density estimation (KDE) stability index between physiological stability (last 24 h prior to discharge) and the 8 h before events (SAE or EWS total score ≥ 6, ≥ 8 or ≥ 10)
Methodological detailssecondary analysis of two observational studies, continuous vital signs monitoring, kernel density estimation
  • Secondary analysis of two observational studies
  • Continuous vital signs monitoring
  • Kernel density estimation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination (AUROC)

AUROC, stable physiology vs early warning score (EWS) events

0.772-0.993

AUROC, stable physiology vs severe adverse events (SAEs)

0.594-0.611

Further findings

Time of early warning

EWS events
2.8-5.5 h
SAEs
2.5 h

Original publication

Quantifying physiological stability in the general ward using continuous vital signs monitoring: the circadian kernel density estimator. J Clin Monit Comput. Published 2 June 2023. doi:10.1007/s10877-023-01032-2

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