ICU sedation, delirium & recovery

Sedation trajectories and circadian rhythm disruption in critically ill adults: an observational cohort study with external validation using MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD

J Crit CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

ICU sedation trajectories were associated with vital-sign rhythmicity parameters. Temperature-derived rhythmicity was consistent with an exploratory indirect pathway to delirium, but estimates depended on analytic assumptions.

Study context

Population
Surgical and mixed medical-surgical ICU patients (MIMIC-IV)eICU-CRD validation n = 12,004
Participants
13,592 participants
Exposure
Sedation trajectories vs sustained high-dose propofol
Outcome
Rhythmicity parameters of four vital signs (Lomb-Scargle, wavelet, entropy, cosinor methods)
Methodological detailsexternal validation (eICU-CRD), marginal structural models, exploratory mediation analysis
  • External validation (eICU-CRD)
  • Marginal structural models
  • Exploratory mediation analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Vital-sign rhythmicity
Early high-dose propofol
β (spectral power, heart rate) 0.033; P < 0.001
Propofol-to-dexmedetomidine transition
β (spectral power, heart rate) 0.015; P < 0.001
Early high-dose propofol
β (spectral power, temperature) 0.055; P < 0.001
Propofol-to-dexmedetomidine transition
β (spectral power, temperature) 0.020; P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Delirium (CAM-ICU) mediated via temperature wavelet power (exploratory mediation, Group 2 vs 3)

Proportion mediated
23.5%, 95% CI 16.9-31.0%
Range across assumptions
0% to 34%
  • Exploratory

Temperature-derived parameters, eICU-CRD external validation

Directionally consistent (Cohen's d)
0.263 to 0.426

Original publication

Sedation trajectories and circadian rhythm disruption in critically ill adults: an observational cohort study with external validation using MIMIC-IV and eICU-CRD. J Crit Care. Published 30 September 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2026.155759

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