Trauma & major bleeding

Shock index as predictor of massive transfusion and mortality in patients with trauma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Crit CarePublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies

Authors' conclusion

Our study demonstrated that SI may have a limited role as the sole tool to predict the need for MT in adult trauma patients. SI is not accurate to predict mortality but may have a role to identify patients with a low risk of mortality.

Study context

Population
Adult patients with trauma
Participants
670,728 patients · 35 studies
Outcome
Accuracy of SI to predict the need for massive transfusion (MT)
Methodological detailsPRISMA, QUADAS-2 risk of bias, Search of MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science from inception to March 2022
  • PRISMA
  • QUADAS-2 risk of bias
  • Search of MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science from inception to March 2022

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

MT prediction
GroupSensitivitySpecificityAUCLR+LR-
SI0.68 [0.57; 0.76]0.84 [0.79; 0.88]0.85 [0.81; 0.88]4.24 [3.18-5.65]0.39 [0.29-0.52]

SI

Sensitivity0.68 [0.57; 0.76]
Specificity0.84 [0.79; 0.88]
AUC0.85 [0.81; 0.88]
LR+4.24 [3.18-5.65]
LR-0.39 [0.29-0.52]

Further pooled results

OutcomeValues
Mortality predictionSI sensitivity 0.358 [0.238; 0.498] · specificity 0.742 [0.656; 0.813] · AUC 0.553 · LR+ 1.39 [1.36-1.42] · LR- 0.87 [0.85-0.89]
  • Mortality prediction: AUC confidence region for sensitivity given specificity: [0.4014; 0.6759]; for specificity given sensitivity: [0.4799; 0.6332]

Original publication

Shock index as predictor of massive transfusion and mortality in patients with trauma: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. Published 5 March 2023. doi:10.1186/s13054-023-04386-w

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