Respiratory failure & ventilation

Temporal dimensions of oxygen saturation exposure and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients: a retrospective multi-database cohort study

Crit CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Our study confirms a U-shaped relationship between SpO2 and outcomes, emphasizing that oxygenation assessments should consider both intensity and duration.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients
Participants
121,758 patients · 3 databases
Exposure
SpO2 exposure patterns
  • SICdbn = 11,324
  • MIMIC-IVn = 50,110
  • eICUn = 60,324
Outcome
28-day mortality
Follow-up
28 days
Methodological detailsmulti-database, external validation
  • Multi-database
  • External validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

28-day mortality by SpO2 exposure
Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
SpO2 96-97%strongest protection (Cox regression)
0.714(0.694–0.733)
P < 0.001
SpO2 < 93.5% · increased mortality risk
HR 1.236; P < 0.001
Heatmap analysis: optimal SpO2
93.5-97%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

External validation (eICU)

External validation confirmed findings; AUC
0.813

Prolonged exposure to SpO2 > 98%

Diminishing effect

Optimal SpO2 range (heatmap analysis)

SpO2 of 93.5-97% optimal

Original publication

Temporal dimensions of oxygen saturation exposure and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients: a retrospective multi-database cohort study. Crit Care. Published 25 September 2025. doi:10.1186/s13054-025-05652-9

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