Respiratory failure & ventilation

Temporal stability of phenotypes of acute respiratory distress syndrome: clinical implications for early corticosteroid therapy and mortality

Intensive Care MedPublished Secondary analysis of randomised controlled trials and retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Characterization of inflammatory ARDS phenotypes using clinical surrogate data allows physicians to monitor patients throughout the course of the disease and guide clinical treatment. Corticosteroids may be beneficial in hyperinflammatory ARDS and harmful in hypoinflammatory ARDS.

Study context

Population
Patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS); six multicentre RCTs (development n = 1207; validation n = 2751) and a retrospective investigation cohortretrospective investigation cohort
Participants
5,578 patients
Comparison
Corticosteroids vs no corticosteroids by inflammatory ARDS phenotype
  • Hyperinflammatoryn = 2,169
  • Hypoinflammatoryn = 3,409
Primary endpoint
Corticosteroid effect on 30-day mortality depending on phenotype
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsindividual patient data, AI clinical classifier development and validation, discrete-time Bayesian Markov model, target trial emulation, longitudinal logistic regression
  • Individual patient data
  • AI clinical classifier development and validation
  • Discrete-time Bayesian Markov model
  • Target trial emulation
  • Longitudinal logistic regression

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

30-day mortality with corticosteroids, by phenotype
IPW-weighted HR (CI)P value
Hyperinflammatorycorticosteroids, lower mortality
0.81(0.67–0.98)
P = 0.033
Hypoinflammatorycorticosteroids, higher mortality
1.26(1.06–1.50)
P = 0.009

Further findings

30-day mortality by phenotype

P < 0.001

Phenotype transition from baseline · Over 30 days

P < 0.001

Transitioned to hypoinflammatory Hyperinflammatory 1072/2169

Transitioned to hyperinflammatory Hypoinflammatory 229/3409

Corticosteroid response at day 3 in patients who remained hyperinflammatory

aOR (95% CI)P value
Remained hyperinflammatoryPositive response only persisted in this subgroup0.51 (0.32–0.80)P = 0.004

Original publication

Temporal stability of phenotypes of acute respiratory distress syndrome: clinical implications for early corticosteroid therapy and mortality. Intensive Care Med. Published 21 August 2025. doi:10.1007/s00134-025-08089-4

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