Perioperative medicine & outcomes

The lifetime risk of surgery in England: a nationwide observational cohort study

Br J AnaesthPublished Population-based observational cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This population epidemiological analysis suggests that approximately 60% of people in England will undergo surgery in their lifetime.

Study context

Population
All patients undergoing surgery in England, January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2020
Participants
23,427,531 patients · 11,937,062 first surgeries
Exposure
Women vs men; pre-pandemic vs COVID-19 pandemic period
Outcome
Lifetime risk of first surgery (all surgery, life table method)
Methodological detailsnationwide, hospital episode statistics, life table method
  • Nationwide
  • Hospital episode statistics
  • Life table method

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Lifetime risk of first surgery

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Change in lifetime risk of first surgery during COVID-19 pandemic

Decrease in lifetime risk of first surgery, women
32.3%
Decrease in lifetime risk of first surgery, men
31.7%

Original publication

The lifetime risk of surgery in England: a nationwide observational cohort study. Br J Anaesth. Published 31 July 2024. doi:10.1016/j.bja.2024.06.028

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