Paediatric anaesthesia & critical care

A multimodal model integrating early clinical and biomarker data to predict 1-year outcomes after pediatric cardiac arrest

ResuscitationPublished Prognostic modelling study

Authors' conclusion

Brain injury biomarkers and MRI Injury Score improved prognostic accuracy over clinical variables alone for 1-year outcome in the Outcomes Cohort.

Study context

Population
Children aged 48 h-17 years with ICU admission after cardiac arrest118 in Outcomes Cohort
Participants
163 children
Comparison
Clinical model with vs without day-1 brain injury biomarkers
Outcome
Unfavorable outcome:
  • Death
  • Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scale <70
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailsplanned analysis of the POCCA study, bootstrap-generated AUROCs, likelihood ratio tests
  • Planned analysis of the POCCA study
  • Bootstrap-generated AUROCs
  • Likelihood ratio tests

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Model fit, clinical + biomarkers vs clinical alone
  • Clinical + biomarkers vs Clinical: P = 0.002
  • Clinical + biomarkers vs Clinical: P = 0.07

Further findings

Incremental value of MRI Injury Score

aOR (95% CI)P value
MRI Injury Score1.13 (1.03–1.24)P = 0.016

Discrimination and calibration, penalized regression model (highest of four approaches)

Optimism-corrected AUROC
0.868 (95% CI 0.82-0.94)
Calibration intercept (0.00-0.26)
0.050
Calibration slope (1.00-1.47)
1.067

Original publication

A multimodal model integrating early clinical and biomarker data to predict 1-year outcomes after pediatric cardiac arrest. Resuscitation. Published 24 August 2026. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2026.111278

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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