Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

Multivariable Modeling of Postoperative Risk in Infant Cardiac Surgery: Integrating Clinical Variables and 20 Inflammatory Biomarkers

Acta Anaesthesiol ScandPublished Secondary analysis of the MiLe-1 study

Authors' conclusion

Inflammatory biomarkers may enhance risk stratification for postoperative outcomes in infant cardiac surgery.

Study context

Population
Infants undergoing cardiac surgery with CPB
Comparison
Biomarker-Only vs Clinical-Data-Only vs Combined prediction models
Primary endpoint
Predictive performance (c-statistic) for AKI, ventilator support duration and inotropic score
Methodological detailsBIC-guided logistic regression, exploratory
  • BIC-guided logistic regression
  • Exploratory

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

AKI risk prediction (c-statistic)

Biomarker-Only

0.79

c-statistic

Clinical-Data-Only

0.60

c-statistic

Combined

0.78

c-statistic

P < 0.001

Further findings

Ventilator support time prediction (c-statistic of the three models)

C-statistics for the models
0.80, 0.72, and 0.77
P-contrast
p-contrast = 0.10

Inotropic score prediction (c-statistic of the three models)

C-statistics for the models
0.83, 0.77, and 0.85
P-contrast
p-contrast = 0.007

Original publication

Multivariable Modeling of Postoperative Risk in Infant Cardiac Surgery: Integrating Clinical Variables and 20 Inflammatory Biomarkers. Acta Anaesthesiol Scand. Published 10 June 2025. doi:10.1111/aas.70073

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