Cardiothoracic & vascular anesthesia

Multivariable Prediction Models for Atrial Fibrillation after Cardiac Surgery: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

AnesthesiologyPublished Systematic review and critical appraisal of prediction model studies

Authors' conclusion

Overall, no individual model could be recommended for clinical use given the methodologic limitations identified

Study context

Population
Studies developing or externally validating prediction models for atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery (AFACS)
Outcome
Model performance and risk of bias
Methodological detailsrisk of bias assessment
  • Risk of bias assessment

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Median C-statistic, apparent validation alone (range 0.60 to 0.98)

0.71

Median C-statistic, external validation (range 0.51 to 0.77)

0.61

Original publication

Multivariable Prediction Models for Atrial Fibrillation after Cardiac Surgery: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal. Anesthesiology. Published 21 October 2025. doi:10.1097/aln.0000000000005665

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