Pediatric anesthesia & critical care

A Novel Preoperative Risk Score Incorporating Non‐Invasive Hemodynamics to Predict Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Infants Undergoing Ventricular Septal Defect (VSD) Repair

Paediatr AnaesthPublished Retrospective prognostic study

Authors' conclusion

A composite risk score integrating individual data and EC hemodynamics monitoring can effectively identify infants at high risk for PMV following VSD repair.

Study context

Population
Infants undergoing VSD repair with concurrent respiratory compromise
Participants
51 infants
Outcome
Prediction of prolonged mechanical ventilation (≥ 12 h) by preoperative EC hemodynamic data
Methodological detailsleave-one-out cross-validation
  • Leave-one-out cross-validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prolonged mechanical ventilation (≥ 12 h)
Test or modelRPAUCSensitivitySpecificityLeave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV) AUC
Principal Component Analysis (PCA)-derived composite score−0.522p < 0.0010.8560.8570.7730.830

Principal Component Analysis (PCA)-derived composite score

R−0.522
Pp < 0.001
AUC0.856
Sensitivity0.857
Specificity0.773
Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV) AUC0.830

Further findings

Parameters correlating with clinical classifications of cardiac dysfunction

NT-proBNP: r
1.517
NT-proBNP: OR
4.560
∆ICON: r
1.470
∆ICON: OR
4.350
  • p < 0.05

Original publication

A Novel Preoperative Risk Score Incorporating Non‐Invasive Hemodynamics to Predict Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation in Infants Undergoing VSD Repair. Paediatr Anaesth. Published 12 March 2026. doi:10.1002/pan.70168

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