Neuroanesthesia & neurocritical care

Association between neurofilament light chain concentrations and outcomes in patients with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Crit CarePublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

An erratum to this article was published (Crit Care, 3 Jun 2026 ↗)

Pooled result · Long-term neurological functionResult — go to the resultSMD 0.45 95% CI 0.33–0.56

Authors' conclusion

Higher NfL concentrations were associated with unfavorable neurological outcomes after moderate-to-severe TBI. The association with mortality was more uncertain and should be interpreted with caution given the substantial heterogeneity across studies.

Study context

Population
Adults with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) with blood or cerebrospinal fluid NfL measured in the acute phase
Participants
2,905 adults · 14 studies
Comparison
NfL concentrations in unfavorable vs favorable outcome
Outcome
Long-term neurological function (latest available GOS or GOS-E, dichotomized unfavorable vs favorable)
Methodological detailscohort studies or RCTs, QUADAS-2 adapted risk of bias, GRADE
  • Cohort studies or RCTs
  • QUADAS-2 adapted risk of bias
  • GRADE

Pooled result

Long-term neurological function

SMD

0.45

95% CI 0.33–0.56

Unfavorable outcome vs Favorable outcome
SMD 0.45 (95% CI 0.33–0.56)

As reported in the abstract

Further pooled results

Mortality (any time point)

SMD (95% CI)
Higher NfL concentrationsI² = 82%; associated with increased mortality0.71 (0.04–1.39)
Mortality (any time point) — More consistent association when NfL measured within 24 h after injury
I² = 0%
  • Mortality (any time point): 6 studies, n = 483

Mortality (any time point)

Certainty of evidence very low (risk of bias, inconsistency, imprecision)

Original publication

Association between neurofilament light chain concentrations and outcomes in patients with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. Published 4 May 2026. doi:10.1186/s13054-026-06036-3

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