Perioperative medicine & outcomes

Association of Intraoperative End-Tidal CO₂, Ventilation, and Hypotension With Postoperative Mortality in Noncardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study

AnesthesiologyPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · In-hospital mortality by intraoperative ETco₂Result — go to the resultAdjusted odds ratio 1.63 95% CI 1.36–1.86

Authors' conclusion

In this large retrospective cohort, low intraoperative ETco₂ was independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality, irrespective of intraoperative hypotension and minute ventilation.

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing noncardiac surgery under GA with mechanical ventilation, 2010–2020, tertiary care center
Participants
185,455 adults
Exposure
Lower vs higher intraoperative mean ETco₂, adjusted for minute ventilation and hypotension
Outcome
In-hospital mortality
Methodological detailssingle tertiary care centre, multivariable logistic regression
  • Single tertiary care centre
  • Multivariable logistic regression

Main finding

In-hospital mortality by intraoperative ETco₂

Adjusted odds ratio

1.63

95% CI 1.36–1.86

Per 5-mmHg ETco₂ decrease from the median
aOR 1.63 (95% CI 1.36–1.86)

Per 5-mmHg ETco₂ decrease from the median, as printed

As reported in the abstract

In-hospital mortality, overall cohort
0.85%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Findings robust across sensitivity analyses

Original publication

Association of Intraoperative End-Tidal CO₂, Ventilation, and Hypotension With Postoperative Mortality in Noncardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Anesthesiology. Published 10 September 2026. doi:10.1097/aln.0000000000006368

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