Organ support & nutrition

Development and internal validation of machine learning in predicting prognosis of acute kidney injury patients in resource-limited setting

J Crit CarePublished Prognostic model development and internal validation study

Authors' conclusion

Machine learning models using routinely available clinical variables may offer useful prognostic information for AKI outcomes in resource-limited settings and outperform traditional scoring systems.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) in Southeast Asia (Southeast Asia AKI cohort)of 6993 ICU patients
Participants
1,650 patients
Comparison
Logistic regression vs random forest vs XGBoost vs conventional clinical scores
Outcome
In-hospital mortality and major adverse kidney events within 28 days (MAKE-28)
Methodological detailsprospective multicenter cohort, machine learning, recursive feature elimination
  • Prospective multicenter cohort
  • Machine learning
  • Recursive feature elimination

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of MAKE-28 and hospital mortality

AUC of the three models for MAKE-28

0.73-0.76

AUC of the three models for hospital mortality

0.71-0.75

Further findings

Observed outcomes in the cohort

Died during hospitalization
778 (47.1%)
Experienced MAKE-28
1204 (73.9%)

Original publication

Development and internal validation of machine learning in predicting prognosis of acute kidney injury patients in resource-limited setting. J Crit Care. Published 7 February 2026. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2026.155479

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