Pain medicine

Development of risk prediction model for chronic pain after knee replacement surgery: protocol for an individual patient data meta-analysis

Perioper Med (Lond)Published Protocol for a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing elective total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in prospective studies assessing perioperative risk factors for chronic post-surgical pain (CPSP), with knee pain measured at least 3 months post-surgery
Primary endpoint
CPSP after TKA (development and validation of a risk prediction model)
Methodological detailsone-stage individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, prediction model development and validation, Online calculator planned for the risk assessment model, Search of MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, January 2005 to August 2025, Paired independent screening; IPD requested from authors of eligible studies under a data sharing agreement
  • One-stage IPD meta-analysis
  • Prediction model development and validation
  • Online calculator planned for the risk assessment model
  • Search of MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, Cochrane CENTRAL, January 2005 to August 2025
  • Paired independent screening; IPD requested from authors of eligible studies under a data sharing agreement

No results yet. This paper sets out the design of a trial; its results are to come.

Original publication

Development of risk prediction model for chronic pain after knee replacement surgery: protocol for an individual patient data meta-analysis. Perioper Med (Lond). Published 19 March 2026. doi:10.1186/s13741-026-00672-7

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