Respiratory failure & ventilation

Development and validation of a multivariable model predicting the required catheter dwell time among mechanically ventilated critically ill patients in three randomized trials

Ann Intensive CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The CVC-IN score, which can be used for the first catheter, had a modest ability to discriminate required catheter dwell time.

Study context

Population
Mechanically ventilated critically ill patients requiring central venous catheterizationrestricted to ventilated patients
Participants
2,336 vs 2,371
Exposure
CVC-IN score ≥ 4 vs < 4
  • Trainingn = 2,336
  • Testingn = 2,371
Outcome
Required catheter dwell time (first catheter insertion to removal of last catheter for absence of utility)
Methodological detailsprediction model development and validation, data from three multicentre RCTs, competing-risk (subdistribution hazard) analysis, internal validation by 500 bootstraps, external validation
  • Prediction model development and validation
  • Data from three multicentre RCTs
  • Competing-risk (subdistribution hazard) analysis
  • Internal validation by 500 bootstraps
  • External validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of CVC-IN score (AUC) for required catheter dwell time · day 28
GroupAUC
Training0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.72)
Testing0.64 (95% CI 0.61-0.66)

AUC

Training0.69 (95% CI 0.66-0.72)
Testing0.64 (95% CI 0.61-0.66)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Median required catheter dwell time by CVC-IN score (overall cohort)

PPV of CVC-IN score ≥ 4 for > 7 days required catheter dwell time (testing cohort)

PPV
76.9%

Original publication

Development and validation of a multivariable model predicting the required catheter dwell time among mechanically ventilated critically ill patients in three randomized trials. Ann Intensive Care. Published 16 January 2023. doi:10.1186/s13613-023-01099-9

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