Respiratory failure & ventilation

Early lung ultrasound score changes predict the failure of non-invasive respiratory supports in acute hypoxemic patients: a multicenter prospective observational study

Crit CarePublished Prospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

Changes in LUS aeration scores induced by 2 h of non-invasive respiratory support help early predict the risk of treatment failure. LUS score improved only in responders and was an independent predictor of failure.

Study context

Population
Hypoxemic patients (PaO2/FiO2 < 300 mmHg) undergoing non-invasive respiratory support (HFNC, CPAP, NIV)13 HFNC, 68 CPAP, 19 NIV
Participants
100 patients
Exposure
Failing vs non-failing patients on non-invasive respiratory support
Outcome
Early prediction of failure of non-invasive respiratory support by LUS (escalation within 48 h)
Follow-up
2 h after treatment start
Methodological detailsmulticentre, international
  • Multicentre
  • International

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of treatment failure (AUC) · 2 h
Overall treatment failure rate
22%
Global lung ultrasound (LUS) score variations, failing vs non-failing (median [IQR]), p < 0.001
0.0 [−2.0-1.0] vs. −3.0 [−5.0 - −2.0]
AUC, global LUS score variations
0.73 [0.62-0.89]
AUC, 2-hour ROX index
0.71 [0.58-0.84]
AUC, 2-hour PaO2/FiO2
0.73 [0.60-0.85]
AUC, combined ROX-US score
0.82 [0.73-0.91]
ROX-US≥1 identifying success: sensitivity / specificity
95% / 50%
ROX-US≥2 identifying success: sensitivity / specificity
45% / 96%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
PaO2/FiO2 after 2 h · lower in failing patientsP = 0.001
ROX index after 2 h · lower in failing patientsP = 0.003
Lateral LUS aeration score after 2 h · higher in failing patientsP = 0.047
Antero-lateral LUS aeration score after 2 h · higher in failing patientsP = 0.027
Global LUS aeration score after 2 h · higher in failing patientsP = 0.036
  • PaO2/FiO2 after 2 h: baseline clinical and ultrasound parameters similar in failing and non-failing patients

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Early lung ultrasound score changes predict the failure of non-invasive respiratory supports in acute hypoxemic patients: a multicenter prospective observational study. Crit Care. Published 7 January 2026. doi:10.1186/s13054-025-05791-z

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