Organ support & nutrition

Effect of restrictive fluid balance in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a target trial emulation

Crit CarePublished Target trial emulation

Main finding · AKI RankResult — go to the resultMean difference - 0.8 95% CI - 1.3 to - 0.3

Authors' conclusion

Restrictive fluid management was associated with improved renal function in early AKI but potentially harmful effects in stages 2 and 3 AKI.

Study context

Population
Critically ill adults with acute kidney injury (AKI) within 72 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and AKI-Fluid Balance Risk Score ≥ 32, 12 ICUs in Queensland, Australia (2015–2021)
Participants
8,685 adults
Exposure
Restrictive fluid management vs usual fluid management
Outcome
AKI Rank
Follow-up
Day 7
Methodological detailsobservational cohort study, multicentre, per-protocol effects, sequential doubly robust estimator for longitudinal modified treatment policies, Effective sample sizes limited (7-16%), indicating reliance on extrapolation
  • Observational cohort study
  • Multicentre
  • Per-protocol effects
  • Sequential doubly robust estimator for longitudinal modified treatment policies
  • Effective sample sizes limited (7-16%), indicating reliance on extrapolation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Mean difference

- 0.8

95% CI - 1.3 to - 0.3

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

AKI Rank (stage 2 AKI subgroup)

Mean difference (95% CI)
InterventionWorse outcomes · heterogeneity by AKI stage4.5 (3.8–5.1)

AKI Rank (stage 3 AKI subgroup)

Mean difference (95% CI)
InterventionWorse outcomes · heterogeneity by AKI stage6.3 (4.7–7.9)

30-day mortality (stage 2 and 3 AKI)

RR (95% CI)
InterventionIncreased mortality1.20 (1.09–1.33)
OutcomeEstimate
Fluid balance · 72 hSubstantial reductiondifference - 2,304 mL (95% CI - 2,465 to - 2,144)
AKI Rank (stage 1 AKI subgroup)Improved renal function · heterogeneity by AKI stagemean difference - 3.1 (95% CI - 3.8 to - 2.5)
  • 30-day mortality (stage 2 and 3 AKI): effective sample sizes limited (7-16%), reliance on extrapolation

Original publication

Effect of restrictive fluid balance in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: a target trial emulation. Crit Care. Published 30 May 2026. doi:10.1186/s13054-026-06094-7

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