Sepsis & infection

Enhancing Sepsis prognosis: Integrating social determinants and demographic variables into a comprehensive model for critically ill patients

J Crit CarePublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Adding patient-specific demographic and socioeconomic information to clinical metrics significantly improves sepsis mortality prediction.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients with sepsis (MIMIC-IV database; external validation in Penn State Health cohort)MIMIC-IV dataset
Participants
32,970 patients
Comparison
Combined model vs Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores alone
Outcome
Sepsis mortality prediction (30-day mortality)
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsretrospective derivation, prospective external validation, Random Forest model
  • Retrospective derivation
  • Prospective external validation
  • Random Forest model

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Predictive accuracy for sepsis mortality

30-day mortality (MIMIC-IV)

6,824

20.7%

Further findings

Significant predictors

Day 2 SOFA, age, weight and comorbidities were significant predictors

External validation (Penn State Health cohort)

Consistent performance; importance of delta SOFA between days 1 and 3

Original publication

Enhancing Sepsis prognosis: Integrating social determinants and demographic variables into a comprehensive model for critically ill patients. J Crit Care. Published 11 July 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2024.154857

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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