Respiratory failure & ventilation

Evaluating the generalisability of formulas used to set tidal volumes in mechanically ventilated patients: an observational, multicohort, retrospective study

Lancet Respir MedPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Mortality per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC ratioResult — go to the resultOdds of death (per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC) 1.43 95% CI 1.17–1.76

Authors' conclusion

Adjusting VT using PBW formulas leads to overestimation of preinjury tidal lung volumes in patients who are older, shorter, female, and non-White compared with other patients.

Study context

Population
Mechanically ventilated patients with lung-protective ventilation, hypoxaemia, and height 150–210 cm, from publicly available deidentified datasetstwo cohorts
Participants
9,152 vs 12,420
Exposure
ARMA predicted bodyweight (PBW) vs predicted forced vital capacity (PFVC) as proxy for preinjury lung volume
  • Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV)n = 9,152
  • Electronic Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD)n = 12,420
Outcome
Association of normalised VT (per PBW or per PFVC) and PBW:PFVC ratio with mortality, driving pressure, and normalised elastance (VT per PBW 6-8 mL/kg)
Methodological detailsobservational, multicohort
  • Observational
  • Multicohort

Main finding

Mortality per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC ratio

Odds of death (per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC)

1.43

95% CI 1.17–1.76

MIMIC-IV
odds of death (per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC) 1.43 (95% CI 1.17–1.76)

Per 1 SD increase in PBW:PFVC ratio, as printed

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Evaluating the generalisability of formulas used to set tidal volumes in mechanically ventilated patients: an observational, multicohort, retrospective study. Lancet Respir Med. Published 15 July 2025. doi:10.1016/s2213-2600(25)00126-2

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