Respiratory failure & ventilation

External validation of the ISARIC 4C Mortality Score to predict in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19 in a Canadian intensive care unit: a single-centre historical cohort study

Can J AnaesthPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The ISARIC 4C Mortality Score is a tool that had a good predictive performance for in-hospital mortality in a cohort of patients with COVID-19 admitted to an ICU for respiratory failure.

Study context

Population
Consecutive patients admitted with COVID-19-associated respiratory failure to a university-affiliated, intensivist-staffed intensive care unit (ICU) (Montreal, Canada), 5 March 2020 to 5 March 2022102 (23.8%) died in hospital
Participants
429 patients
Exposure
ISARIC 4C Mortality Score vs Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores
Outcome
In-hospital mortality (discrimination of the ISARIC 4C Mortality Score, AUC)
Methodological detailssingle-centre, external validation, historical cohort
  • Single-centre
  • External validation
  • Historical cohort

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for in-hospital mortality (AUC)

ISARIC 4C

0.762

AUC · 95% CI 0.717–0.811

SOFA

0.705

AUC · 95% CI 0.648–0.761

APACHE II

0.722

AUC · 95% CI 0.667–0.777

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

External validation of the ISARIC 4C Mortality Score to predict in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19 in a Canadian intensive care unit: a single-centre historical cohort study. Can J Anaesth. Published 8 June 2023. doi:10.1007/s12630-023-02512-4

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