Respiratory failure & ventilation

ICU predictive factors of fibrotic changes following COVID-19 related ARDS: a RECOVIDS substudy

Ann Intensive CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this large cohort of COVID-19 ARDS survivors, 36.8% exhibited FC at 6 months post-ICU discharge.

Study context

Population
COVID-19 ARDS survivors (Berlin ARDS criteria or high flow oxygen therapy) in 32 centres in France and Belgium, with follow-up 6 ± 1 months after ICU dischargeanalysed of 555 included
Participants
440 survivors
Outcome
Presence of fibrotic changes (FC) at follow-up CT
Follow-up
6 ± 1 months after ICU discharge
Methodological detailsobservational, multicentre, substudy of the RECOVIDS study
  • Observational
  • Multicentre
  • Substudy of the RECOVIDS study

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Presence of FC at follow-up CT

Analysed

36.8%

162 events

Nomogram for predicting pulmonary fibrotic changes (FC), AUC
80.6% (95%CI 76.4-84.8)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Secondary outcomes

OutcomeValues
Predominant radiological patternsPatients with FC 18.5%

Predominant radiological patterns

Late organizing pneumonia most common pattern overall; 30 of 162 with FC mainly anterior fibrosis compatible with post ventilatory changes

Original publication

ICU predictive factors of fibrotic changes following COVID-19 related ARDS: a RECOVIDS substudy. Ann Intensive Care. Published 4 November 2025. doi:10.1186/s13613-025-01577-2

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