Respiratory failure & ventilation

Reproducible clinical archetypes in acute respiratory failure: a multi-cohort trajectory analysis

Intensive Care MedPublished Retrospective multi-cohort trajectory analysis

Authors' conclusion

Four reproducible oxygenation archetypes capture the 14-day course of persistent respiratory failure.

Study context

Population
Adults with persistent acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) (PaO2/FiO2 < 300 mmHg and PEEP ≥ 5 cmH2O for ≥ 72 h); MIMIC-IV and UK/Netherlands cohortsderivation 3938
Exposure
TC1 vs TC2 vs TC3 vs TC4
Outcome
Trajectory classes of daily mean PaO2/FiO2 and time to ICU discharge/death
Follow-up
Day 14
Methodological detailsderivation and external validation cohorts, competing-risk latent class mixed model
  • Derivation and external validation cohorts
  • Competing-risk latent class mixed model

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Four-class trajectory model: 14-day mortality · 14 days

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeTC2TC4
Hyperinflammatory subphenotype prevalence— not stated in the abstract41-53%
ARDS prevalence50%— not stated in the abstract

— not stated in the abstract

Hyperinflammatory subphenotype prevalence

TC4 enriched for hyperinflammatory subphenotype

ARDS prevalence

TC2 most common in patients with ARDS

Early TC prediction (12-variable XGBoost), external validation · day 3

Mean AUCs ≥ 0.78 (0.70-0.86)

Other clinical biomarker trajectories

Distinct patterns between trajectory classes (TCs)

Original publication

Reproducible clinical archetypes in acute respiratory failure: a multi-cohort trajectory analysis. Intensive Care Med. Published 17 May 2026. doi:10.1007/s00134-026-08441-2

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