Cardiac arrest & resuscitation

Temporal trends in incidence, characteristics and survival outcomes for asystolic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

ResuscitationPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Survival to hospital discharge (EMS-treated)Result — go to the resultAdjusted odds ratio 0.42 95% CI 0.23–0.75

Authors' conclusion

Survival and long-term outcomes for initial asystolic OHCA remain persistently poor despite increased bystander CPR and system-level improvements.

Study context

Population
Adults aged ≥16 years with OHCA and initial asystolic rhythm, Victoria, Australia, 2003–2022; Emergency medical services (EMS)-witnessed arrests excluded19,517 EMS-treated
Participants
75,262 adults
Exposure
Temporal trends 2003-2022
Outcome
Temporal trends in incidence, characteristics and outcomes (survival) of asystolic OHCA
Methodological detailspopulation-based registry, temporal trends, multivariable logistic regression
  • Population-based registry
  • Temporal trends
  • Multivariable logistic regression

Main finding

Survival to hospital discharge (EMS-treated)

Adjusted odds ratio

0.42

95% CI 0.23–0.75

P = 0.004

2018-22 vs 2003-07
aOR 0.42 (95% CI 0.23–0.75); P = 0.004

As reported in the abstract

Survival to hospital discharge, 2003 to 2022
1.2% to 0.3% (p for trend < 0.001)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Age-standardised incidence of EMS-attended cases

Cases per 100,000 population, 2003 vs 2022
84.1 vs 77.8 (p for trend = 0.201)

Prehospital ROSC

Decreased over study period
17.8% to 15.4% (p for trend < 0.001)

Bystander CPR

Increased over study period
37.1-71.1% (p for trend < 0.001)

Bystander-witnessed arrests

Declined over study period
42.8-35.2% (p for trend < 0.001)

Arrests in aged care facilities, traumatic aetiology, rural regions (EMS-treated)

All increased over study period
P for trend < 0.05

Favourable functional outcome (GOS-E ≥5) among survivors with telephone follow-up · 12 months

Rate of favourable functional outcome
54.8%
  • n = 42 of 55 eligible

Original publication

Temporal trends in incidence, characteristics and survival outcomes for asystolic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Resuscitation. Published 25 March 2026. doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2026.111074

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