Neuroanesthesia & neurocritical care

Using metabolomics to predict severe traumatic brain injury outcome (Glasgow outcome scale extended (GOSE)) at 3 and 12 months

Crit CarePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Metabolomic profiles were strongly associated with the prognosis of GOSE outcome at 3 and 12 months and mortality following sTBI in adults.

Study context

Population
Adults with severe TBI (GCS ≤ 8), multicentre Canadian TBI (CanTBI) study
Participants
59 adults
Exposure
Favorable vs Unfavorable
Outcome
GOSE outcome, dichotomized into favorable (GOSE 5-8) and unfavorable (GOSE 1-4)
Follow-up
3 and 12 months post-injury
Methodological detailsmulticentre, prognostic, metabolomic profiling
  • Multicentre
  • Prognostic
  • Metabolomic profiling

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of GOSE outcome at 3 and 12 months and mortality at 3 months by serum metabolic profiles (days 1 and 4)

Predictive ability (Q2), days 1 and 4

Q2 > 0.4-0.5

Accuracy (AUC), days 1 and 4

AUC > 0.99

Day 4 profiles more predictive than day 1

Q2 > 0.55

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Metabolite changes day 1 to day 4

Unfavorable outcomes associated with considerable metabolite changes from day 1 to day 4 vs favorable outcomes

Metabolites associated with poor outcome and mortality

Increased lysophosphatidylcholines, acylcarnitines, energy-related metabolites (glucose, lactate), aromatic amino acids and glutamate associated with poor outcomes and mortality

Original publication

Using metabolomics to predict severe traumatic brain injury outcome (GOSE) at 3 and 12 months. Crit Care. Published 22 July 2023. doi:10.1186/s13054-023-04573-9

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