Respiratory failure & ventilation

What is the optimal approach to analyse ventilator-free days? A simulation study

Crit CarePublished Simulation study

Authors' conclusion

The multistate model could be recommended as the optimal approach for analysing VFDs, as it outperformed the other methods and offers a more interpretable effect size than the proportional odds model and the win ratio.

Study context

Population
Simulated datasets of 300 individuals (control vs intervention with varying survival rates and ventilation durations) and four clinical trial datasets (LIVE, ARMA, ACURASYS, COVIDICUS)16 simulated datasets
Comparison
Twelve statistical methods for analysing ventilator-free days (VFDs)
Outcome
Statistical power and Type I error rate of methods for analysing VFDs
Methodological detailsapplication to 4 clinical trial datasets, sensitivity analyses
  • Application to 4 clinical trial datasets
  • Sensitivity analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

  • Most methods controlled Type I error rate, except zero-inflated and hurdle Poisson/negative binomial count submodels and cause-specific Cox regression for death
  • Power to detect survival benefit and ventilation duration effects varied; time-to-event approaches, Mann-Whitney test, proportional odds model and win ratio generally best

Further findings

Sensitivity analyses

Similar results

Real trial datasets

Multistate model, Mann-Whitney test, proportional odds model and win ratio generally showed a significant association between VFDs and randomisation groups

Original publication

What is the optimal approach to analyse ventilator-free days? A simulation study. Crit Care. Published 19 June 2025. doi:10.1186/s13054-025-05474-9

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