ICU sedation, delirium & recovery

Association of In-Hospital Influenza Vaccination With Reduced 1-Year Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Chronic Pulmonary Disease: A Real-World Target Trial Emulation

ChestPublished Target trial emulation

Authors' conclusion

Our results show that in-hospital influenza vaccination is effective for critically ill patients with CPD

Study context

Population
Critically ill inpatients with chronic pulmonary disease, MIMIC-IV database (2011–2022)
Participants
7,734 inpatients
Exposure
In-hospital influenza vaccination vs no vaccination
  • Vaccinatedn = 3,803
Outcome
1-year mortality
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailsretrospective cohort study, propensity-score matched, Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database
  • Retrospective cohort study
  • Propensity-score matched
  • Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Vaccination associated with reduced 1-year mortality (vaccine effectiveness (VE))

12%; 95% CI, 3%-20%

Number needed to vaccinate (NNV) to prevent 1 death

30

95% CI 18–119

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeEstimate
90-day mortalitylower mortality 12% (95% CI 1%–21%)
Readmissionreduced risk 13% (95% CI 3%–22%)
ED visitslower rate 23% (95% CI 12%–32%)

Safety

OutcomeRD (95% CI)
Fever within 7 days after vaccination (exploratory)Noninferiority demonstrated2.22% (−0.02% to 4.47%)
  • Fever within 7 days after vaccination (exploratory): noninferiority margin: upper 95% CI of risk difference (RD) < 5%

Original publication

Association of In-Hospital Influenza Vaccination With Reduced 1-Year Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Chronic Pulmonary Disease: A Real-World Target Trial Emulation. Chest. Published 28 April 2026. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2026.04.022

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