Hemodynamics, fluids & transfusion

Diastolic Versus Systolic or Mean Intraoperative Hypotension as Predictive of Perioperative Myocardial Injury in a White-Box Machine-Learning Model

Anesth AnalgPublished Prospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

We found that an absolute, not relative, IOH threshold based on diastolic arterial pressure, and not systolic or mean arterial pressure, or tachycardia, was most predictive of PMI.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing vascular surgery
Participants
498 patients
Exposure
Absolute and relative thresholds of systolic, mean and diastolic intraoperative hypotension, and tachycardia, as predictors of perioperative myocardial injury (PMI)
Outcome
Perioperative myocardial injury (PMI; high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T measured preoperatively and at 4, 24 and 48 h)
Methodological detailssingle-centre, decision tree machine-learning (white-box) model
  • Single-centre
  • Decision tree machine-learning (white-box) model

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

PMI and its prediction by IOH and tachycardia thresholds

PMI incidence

99

20%

Most predictive threshold: absolute diastolic arterial pressure (mm Hg)

<44

Model with diastolic <44 mm Hg: macro average F1 score

0.67

Model with diastolic <44 mm Hg: weighted average F1 score

0.76

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Diastolic Versus Systolic or Mean Intraoperative Hypotension as Predictive of Perioperative Myocardial Injury in a White-Box Machine-Learning Model. Anesth Analg. Published 20 February 2025. doi:10.1213/ane.0000000000007379

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