Sepsis & infection

External Validation of the Phoenix Sepsis Score in Children With Suspected Community-Acquired Sepsis

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

In this multicenter diagnostic study of children hospitalized with suspected sepsis, the Phoenix Sepsis Score and sepsis criteria had similar performance to the original derivation and validation cohorts.

Study context

Population
Children admitted through 11 EDs in Australia and New Zealand, treated with parenteral antibiotics for suspected community-acquired sepsis (SENTINEL study, 2021–2023)included in the analysis
Participants
6,232 children
Comparison
Phoenix Sepsis Score and sepsis criteria for predicting mortality
  • Phoenix sepsis criterian = 306
Outcome
(1) In-hospital mortality and (2) death or requirement for ECLS within 72 hours of hospitalization
Methodological detailsexternal validation, multicentre, multicountry, Coagulation data for the Phoenix Sepsis Score missing in more than 85% of children
  • External validation
  • Multicentre
  • Multicountry
  • Coagulation data for the Phoenix Sepsis Score missing in more than 85% of children

Performance

As reported in the abstract

In-hospital mortality; death or ECLS within 72 hours
Test or modelSensitivity, in-hospital mortalityPPV, in-hospital mortalitySensitivity, death or extracorporeal life support (ECLS) within 72 hoursPPV, death or ECLS within 72 hoursDied in hospital among those meeting criteriaDied or ECLS within 72 hours among those meeting criteria
Phoenix sepsis criteria55.0% (95% CI, 41.6%-67.9%)10.8% (95% CI, 7.6%-14.9%)77.8% (95% CI, 60.8%-89.9%)9.2% (95% CI, 6.2%-13.0%)33 (10.8%)28 (9.2%)

Phoenix sepsis criteria

Sensitivity, in-hospital mortality55.0% (95% CI, 41.6%-67.9%)
PPV, in-hospital mortality10.8% (95% CI, 7.6%-14.9%)
Sensitivity, death or extracorporeal life support (ECLS) within 72 hours77.8% (95% CI, 60.8%-89.9%)
PPV, death or ECLS within 72 hours9.2% (95% CI, 6.2%-13.0%)
Died in hospital among those meeting criteria33 (10.8%)
Died or ECLS within 72 hours among those meeting criteria28 (9.2%)
Worst Phoenix Sepsis Score over first 24 hours, area under precision recall curve, in-hospital mortality
0.17 (95% CI, 0.07-0.28)
Worst Phoenix Sepsis Score over first 24 hours, area under precision recall curve, death or ECLS within 72 hours
0.23 (95% CI, 0.11-0.36)
Overall in-hospital mortality
60 (1.0%)
Overall death or ECLS within 72 hours
36 (0.6%)
Children meeting Phoenix sepsis criteria
306 (4.9%)

Original publication

External Validation of the Phoenix Sepsis Score in Children With Suspected Community-Acquired Sepsis. JAMA Netw Open. Published 3 March 2025. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.1412

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