Perioperative medicine & outcomes

N-terminal Pro-BNP (NT-proBNP) or Self-Reported Functional Capacity in Estimating Risk of Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this cohort study of nearly 3600 patients with elevated cardiovascular risk undergoing noncardiac surgery, there was no conclusive evidence of a difference between a NT-proBNP-based and a self-reported functional capacity-based estimate of MACE risk.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing inpatient elective noncardiac surgery at 25 tertiary care hospitals in Europe, 2017–2020; aged ≥45 y with Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) ≥2 or NSQIP MICA >1%, or aged ≥65 y with intermediate- or high-risk procedures3,597 with complete data
Participants
3,731 patients
Exposure
NT-proBNP vs self-reported functional capacity added to clinical scores (RCRI, age, 4MET) to estimate major adverse cardiac events (MACE) risk
Outcome
MACE:
  • In-hospital CV mortality
  • Cardiac arrest
  • MI
  • Stroke
  • HF requiring transfer to higher unit of care
Follow-up
In-hospital
Methodological detailsmulticentre
  • Multicentre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for MACE (AUC)

RCRI, age, and 4MET

0.704

AUC · 95% CI 0.646–0.763

Plus floor climbing

0.702

AUC · 95% CI 0.645–0.760

Plus physical activity

0.724

AUC · 95% CI 0.672–0.775

Plus NT-proBNP

0.736

AUC · 95% CI 0.682–0.790

MACE incidence
86 [2.4%]

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Benefit analysis

Favoured NT-proBNP at a threshold of 5% or below (true positives valued ≥20 times false positives)

NSQIP MICA as baseline clinical score

Findings similar

Original publication

NT-proBNP or Self-Reported Functional Capacity in Estimating Risk of Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery. JAMA Netw Open. Published 1 November 2023. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.42527

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