Respiratory failure & ventilation

Performance of the respiratory oxygenation (ROX) index in predicting high flow nasal cannula failure in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Crit CarePublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies

Authors' conclusion

Our analysis confirms the overall utility of the ROX index in risk stratification of COVID-19 patients with AHRF receiving HFNC and provides potentially useful cut-offs for different times from HFNC initiation.

Study context

Population
COVID-19 patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure receiving high flow nasal cannula (HFNC)
Participants
4,790 patients · 24 studies
Outcome
Optimal ROX index cut-offs for predicting HFNC failure
Methodological detailsreconstructed confusion matrices, linear mixed models, summary ROC analysis
  • Reconstructed confusion matrices
  • Linear mixed models
  • Summary ROC analysis

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Overall prediction of HFNC failure by ROX index
Overall sAUC
0.771 (95% CI: 0.666-0.847)
Optimal cut-off
5.23
Sensitivity at optimal cut-off
0.732
Specificity at optimal cut-off
0.690
Cut-offs for 80%, 90% sensitivity, 80%, 90% specificity
5.70, 6.69, 4.45, 3.37

Further pooled results

Proposed cut-offs by ROX measurement time

2-6 h post-HFNC initiation: 80% specific cut-off to rule in HFNC failure
< 5.33
6-12 h post-HFNC initiation: 80% specific cut-off to rule in HFNC failure
< 3.69
12-24 h post-HFNC initiation: 80% sensitive cut-off to rule out HFNC failure
> 6.07

Original publication

Performance of the ROX index in predicting high flow nasal cannula failure in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Crit Care. Published 21 August 2023. doi:10.1186/s13054-023-04567-7

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