Organ support & nutrition

Predicting a strongly positive fluid balance in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: A multicentre, international study

J Crit CarePublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

We developed and validated the "AKI-FB risk score" to predict patients who developed a positive FB >2 L within 72 h of AKI diagnosis.

Study context

Population
Critically ill patients with acute kidney injury (AKI)
Outcome
Positive fluid balance >2 L after AKI diagnosis
Follow-up
72 h
Methodological detailsmulticentre, international, external validation
  • Multicentre
  • International
  • External validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of a >2 L positive FB at 72 h after AKI diagnosis
Test or modelThresholdSensitivitySpecificityAUC-ROC
AKI-FB risk score3275 %72 %0.805; 95 % CI 0.799 to 0.810

AKI-FB risk score

Threshold32
Sensitivity75 %
Specificity72 %
AUC-ROC0.805; 95 % CI 0.799 to 0.810
External validation AUC (British cohort)
0.761 (95 % CI 0.746 to 0.775)

Further findings

Key score variables

Admission after trauma, sepsis or septic shock; on day of AKI diagnosis: highest creatinine, daily cumulative fluid balance (FB), mechanical ventilation, noradrenaline use, noradrenaline equivalent dose >0.07 μg/kg/min, lactate ≥2 mmol/L, transfusion, nutritional support

Original publication

Predicting a strongly positive fluid balance in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury: A multicentre, international study. J Crit Care. Published 23 January 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jcrc.2025.155016

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