Respiratory failure & ventilation

Predicting outcomes in patients with exacerbation of COPD requiring mechanical ventilation

Ann Intensive CarePublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Beyond predicting in-ICU mortality, the NIVO-score is a reliable tool in predicting 1-year mortality and NIV failure in AECOPD.

Study context

Population
Patients hospitalized for Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) requiring mechanical ventilation, January 1st, 2018 to December 31st, 2022of 302 ICU admissions
Participants
190 patients
Exposure
Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score for predicting 1-year mortality and NIV failure
Outcome
Performance of the NIVO score in predicting 1-year mortality and NIV failure (intubation or death without intubation)
Follow-up
1 year

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of 1-year mortality and NIV failure

NIVO score

AUC, 1-year mortality
0.68
AUC, NIV failure
0.85

NIVO score

AUC, 1-year mortality0.68
AUC, NIV failure0.85
NIVO score over 7Hazard ratio (CI)
1-year mortality
4.4(1.8–10.9)
NIV failure
41.6(5.6–307.9)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Observed outcomes (cohort)

Died in ICU
44 (23%)
Failed NIV
62 out of 184 (34%)
Died within 1 year of admission
78 (41%)

Characteristics of ICU death or NIV failure

More severe COPD and more impaired blood gas parameters at admission

Original publication

Predicting outcomes in patients with exacerbation of COPD requiring mechanical ventilation. Ann Intensive Care. Published 20 October 2024. doi:10.1186/s13613-024-01394-z

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